Enlarge image Market in Izmir, Turkey Photo: Aedil Toffolo / Cover Images / IMAGO Inflation in Turkey continues to rise. Advanced users can use our Python/R/Matlab packages. Turkeys inflation rate has hit 85.51 percent in October 2022, the highest in 24 years. Got a confidential news tip? Erdoan has called for more rate cuts at the banks next policy meeting on October 20, saying last week that it should be cut to single digits by the end of the year. Turkey: Inflation rises to over 85 percent - The Limited Times Turkish annual inflation climbed to a new 24-year high of 85.51 percent in October, official data showed on Thursday, slightly below forecast, after the central bank by cut its In Turkey, the most important categories in the consumer price index are food and non-alcoholic beverages (23.7 percent of total weight); housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (15.9 percent of total weight) and transportation (14.3 percent). November 3, 2022 November 3, 2022 BTT . The reports authors further noted that banks capital buffers are eroding, the governments fiscal resources are dissipating, and poverty rates are above pre-2019 levels. The annual inflation rate in Turkey accelerated for the 12th consecutive month to 73.5 percent in May of 2022, the highest since October of 1998 and compared to market estimates of 76.6 Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox. The lira was trading roughly flat on the day at 18.61 to the dollar. The figure, which was the highest level since June 1998, came in just below economists expectations of 85.6 percent. Turkey Inflation Gold prices ticked higher on Monday as the dollar hovered near recent lows, with investors' focus being on a key U.S. inflation reading as it could influence the size of the Federal Reserve's next interest-rate hike. "But I think the recent events also put that deal at risk so I think we will see further devaluation of the lira and increasing inflation," he said. Prices surged for housing and utilities (71.8 percent) and transportation (116.9 percent), amid soaring costs of energy (121.7 percent). It is not enough. A Division of NBCUniversal. All content of the Dow Jones branded indices Copyright S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates. The print was driven by a steep rise The dramatic rise in living costs for the country of 85 million has continued unabated for nearly two years. The central bank is ostensibly taking its cues from President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who believes that the best practice to fight inflation is to reduce interest rates and grow the economy. My biggest enemy is interest. Trading Economics is penciling in another cut of 150 basis points. Inflation soared to nearly 70% (69.97%) over one year in April in Turkey, the highest since February 2002, according to official figures released on May 5. Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis. The policy direction has long stunned investors and economists, who say the refusal to tighten policy is a result of political pressure from Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has long railed against interest rates and turned against economic orthodoxy by insisting that lowering rates are the way to bring down inflation. This, experts purport, is fueling the cost-of-living crisis in the nation. Sweden cant call itself a democratic nation if it fufills Turkeys demand to hand over journalist: CPJ, Turkish TV station investigated for hosting former football star sought on Glen links, Police reports reveal negligence in mine explosion in northwest Turkey, Union chair arrested on Erdoan insult charges after remarks on bread consumption, Turkish bus driver refuses to stop for passenger prayer, igniting fresh secularism debate, Turkey starts paying for some Russian gas in rubles, IMF staff recommends Turkey raise rates, boost central bank independence, Turkeys inflation jumps to 85.51 percent in October, Turkey gets to rewrite inflation forecasts again after rate cuts: report, Turkish competition board fines Meta Platforms $18.6 million. The Turkish Statistics Institute (TurkStat) said Monday that consumer prices rose by 83.45 percent in September on an annual basis, up from 80.2 percent in August. "Share this post on social media, spread the news" Turkey's central bank surprised markets once again with its decision Thursday to cut its key interest rate, despite inflation in the country surging beyond 80%. Turkeys economic data have been mixed in recent months. Controversially, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan refuses to raise interest rates, insisting that it would harm the economy. 2019. According to a Nov. 3 report by the Turkish Statistial Institute (TurkStat), food prices were 99 percent [] While most countries saw a rise in their annual inflation rate during 2021 and 2022, some of the highest rates of increase have been in Europe, Brazil, Turkey and the United States. The overnight lending rate and the borrowing rate were also reduced by 150 bps, to 12 percent and 9 percent, respectively. Month-on-month, food and non-alcoholic drink prices rose the most with 13.38% and house prices rose 7.43%. The monthly PPI also advanced to 7.83 percent, up from 4.78 percent. Erdoan prioritizes growth and exports over price stability, promising that prices will only start falling in January. People walk past a currency exchange office at Istanbul's Grand Bazaar on May 05, 2022, in Istanbul, Turkey. Dow Jones: The Dow Jones branded indices are proprietary to and are calculated, distributed and marketed by DJI Opco, a subsidiary of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and have been licensed for use to S&P Opco, LLC and CNN. By August 2022, annual Turkish inflation rose to a 24-year high of 80.2%. The countrys central bank has followed his philosophy, lowering its policy rate to 12 percent from 13 percent last month. Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis. Over the last 12 months, the currency has plummeted roughly 92 percent against the greenback. Turkeys annual inflation jumped to 69.97% in April, above forecast and at a two-decade high, according to data on Thursday, fueled by the Russia-Ukraine conflict and rising energy and commodity prices after last years lira crash. It said the cut was necessary as growth and demand continued to slow and also cited "escalating geopolitical risk.". (Natural News) Turkeys inflation rate has hit 85.51 percent in October 2022, the highest in 24 years. Turkey Opposition leaders and many Turks no longer give credit to official government data. Istanbul residents searching for bargains amid rising food prices caused by high inflation and persistent economic turbulence in Turkey. The surge in consumer prices was driven by a 105.9% leap in the transportation sector, which includes energy prices, and a 89.1% jump in food and non-alcoholic drinks prices, the data showed. Turkeys inflation hits 24-year high of 85.5 pct, as Erdogan shuns Trading Economics welcomes candidates from around the world. Inflation Report 2022 - IV (will be published on October 27, 2022) White label accounts can distribute our data. The graph above displays annual inflation rates in Turkey for calendar years from 1956 to 2021. Here are 13 stocks that bucked the trend, Jeffrey Gundlach says bonds are attractive now. 2022 CNBC LLC. We lowered the interest rate to 12%," the president said during an event in late September. Is that enough? October exports and imports eased to $21.3 billion and $29.3 billion, respectively. Get this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services. Inflation Inflation as measured by the consumer price index reflects the annual percentage change in the cost to the average consumer of acquiring a basket of goods and services that The government has said inflation will fall under its new economic programme, which prioritises low interest rates to boost production and exports with the goal of achieving a current account surplus. Turkeys annual inflation rate accelerated to 85.51 percent in October, its highest level since 1997, official data showed Thursday, as President Recep Tayyip Erdoan has defended unorthodox policies to combat a cost-of-living crisis, Agence France-Presse reported. Month-on-month, consumer prices rose 7.25%, the Turkish Statistical Institute said, compared to a Reuters poll forecast of 6%. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose by 1.5 percent, compared to the 2.4 percent in the previous month. The annual Turkey inflation rate increased to a 24-year high of 85.51 percent in October, up from 83.45 percent in September, according to the Turkish Statistical Institute. Turkey's inflation rate at 73.5%. Turkey How to play it. Chicago Mercantile: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. and its licensors. (Reuters/Murad Sezer/File Photo), Andrew Moran has been writing about business, economics, and finance for more than a decade. Global Business and Financial News, Stock Quotes, and Market Data and Analysis. Russians tourists to Europe decreased dramatically over the summer, but rose in several other destinations, including Turkey (here). The current policy setting does not prioritize disinflation, and inflation will likely remain elevated in the near term.. A dive to 10 made it bounce to 14, and since then it has gradually fallen but has recently become somewhat stable at 18.5. Turkey: Inflation rises to over 85 percent 11/3/2022, 2:11:35 AM The worrying trend in Turkey continues: In October, consumer prices were 85.5 percent higher than in 2021. The currency slide was triggered by a 500 basis point interest rate easing cycle which began last September under pressure from President Tayyip Erdogan, triggering the sustained surge in consumer prices. Your effort and contribution in providing this feedback is much We will build the century of Turkey together, hopefully by overcoming the inflation issue, Erdoan said. Turkish inflation jumped to a new 24-year high exceeding 83 percent in September as President Recep Tayyip Erdoan presses for more interest rate cuts despite surging prices, Agence France-Presse reported, citing official data on Monday. Turkey Historical Annual Inflation Rates from 1956 The table below contains annual inflation rates in Turkey from 1956. The organization listed inflation as the primary issue facing the worlds eighteenth-largest economy. Consumer Price Index (2003=100) (TURKSTAT) Consumer Price Index (1994=100) (TURKSTAT) Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox. The central bank, noted Mercan, also aims to reverse the downward trend in foreign demand, caused by uncertainty and risk. Turkeys official inflation rate increased to almost 80% last month the highest in 24 years as President Recep Tayyip It said markets should expect the "disinflation process to begin" on the back of the measures taken, Reuters reported. REUTERS/Murad Sezer ISTANBUL, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Turkish annual Producer prices also experienced a dramatic surge last month. The looming shadow of Erdogan lurking over monetary policy is driving irregular and contradictory moves to interest rates, with uncertainty from analysts over how the country will behave next, Mercan added. Turkey's inflation hits 24-year high of 85.5% after rate cuts Turkeys inflation hits two-decade high of 70% By Reuters Published 5:37 AM EDT, Thu May 5, 2022 Link Copied! FX reserves in Turkey are so low that the central bank is really in no position to step in," he said. FocusEconomics Consensus Forecast panelists expect inflation to average 72.0% in 2022 and 38.5% in 2023. Main upward pressures came from prices of food & non-alcoholic beverages (99.1 percent vs 93.1 percent in September) and furnishings, household equipment, routine maintenance of the house (93.6 percent vs 89.7 percent). Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inbox. ISTANBUL (Reuters) -Turkish annual inflation climbed to a new 24-year high of 85.51% in October, official data showed on Thursday, slightly below forecast, after the central Liam Peach, senior emerging markets economist at London-based Capital Economics, said a large increase in electricity and gas prices pushed inflation higher in Turkey. The lira has lost more than 27% of its value to the dollar year to date, and 80% in the last five years. Liked it? The Istanbul Chamber of Industry Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), for example, has been stuck in contraction territory since March, falling to as low as 46.4 in October. We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website. In September 2022, the inflation rate hit 8.2%, meaning that prices across a broad range of consumer goods and services are up year over year. Inflation for the country of 84 million people has soared in the last two years, in particular as Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan insists on continuing to cut interest rates rather than raise them deviating from the conventional way of controlling inflation. ECtHR says Turkey arrested pro-Kurdish politicians to stifle pluralism, orders their release, Six grain ships leave Ukraine ports after Russia rejoins deal: Turkey, Court rejects lawsuit filed by TurkStat against independent research group, Alevis protest against controversial omnibus bill for failing to address their demands, Hundreds protest in Turkey in support of Iranian women, Greece says its open to talks with Turkey once provocations end, [ANALYSIS] Why the South Caucasus is a strategic region for Turkey. The current Consumer prices month on month Food 2020. However, ongoing widening pressures on the current account and subdued capital flows imply the possibility of further drawdowns in reserves. Turkey inflation hits new 24-year high of 83% after rate cuts All times are ET. While the Turkish government has promised relief, the situation is intensifying, affecting households across the country. But it had subsided by the turn of the century, as rates were mostly below 10 percent prior to the coronavirus pandemic. For the current inflation in Turkey (CPI), click here. To calculate cumulative rates between two different periods, you can use the Turkey Inflation Calculator. Inflation in Turkey rose 85.5% year-on-year in October for the 17th consecutive month as food and energy prices continued to climb, according to official figures. People stroll at Mahmutpasa street, a middle-class shopping area, in Istanbul, Turkey May 6, 2022. Following the bank's rate decision announcement, the currency was down a quarter of a percentage point, trading at a record low of 18.379 to the dollar. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose by 3.5 percent in October. Turks will likely continue to struggle as their basic living costs rise, and Russia's ongoing war in Ukraine has dramatically worsened price inflation on goods and energy globally. Direct access to our data from your apps using any programing language. Further signs of a slowdown in economic activity as well as recent stability in FX [foreign exchange] reserves along with outperformance of the currency versus peers are factors behind the CBRT cut this month, he wrote. But industrial production rose 2.4 percent month over month in August, while retail sales advanced 3.7 percent. On a month-over-month basis, the inflation rate jumped to 3.54 percent, up from 3.08 percent in the previous month. Factset: FactSet Research Systems Inc. All rights reserved. Consumer prices month on month grew by 3.08%, and annually by 83.45%. Hakan Kara, the former chief economist of the Turkish central bank, said on Twitter that the country has now experienced its sharpest inflation surge since World War II. Got a confidential news tip? Turkeys inflation hits two-decade high of 70% - CNN Inflation also began spiking at the end of last year, but has become somewhat stable-ish since June at around 80%. Economic activity is expected to weaken in the second half of 2022, as macroeconomic volatility intensifies, inflation erodes the purchasing power of households that can no longer front-load consumption, and external demand weakens, the World Bank said in an October report. Costs also increased for housing & utilities (85.2 percent vs 84.7 percent) and clothing & footwear (41.3 percent vs 40.3 percent). Exchange rates information at a currency exchange bureau in Istanbul, Turkey, in June. Standard users can export data in a easy to use web interface or using an excel add-in. As the rest of the world is tightening monetary policy by raising interest rates, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT), led by Sahap Kavcoglu, is engaging in the opposite by slashing benchmark policy rates. on May 5, 2022, in Istanbul, The dramatic rise in living costs for the country of 85 million has continued unabated for nearly two years, in tandem with significant devaluation of Turkey's currency, the lira. Throughout the 1980s, monetary expansion continued and by all estimates was the crucial determining factor in the inflation rate, wrote economist Anne Krueger in a paper (pdf) published in 1995 by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Inflation as measured by the consumer price index reflects the annual percentage change in the cost to the average consumer of acquiring a basket of goods and services that may be fixed or changed at specified intervals, such as yearly. Turkey Inflation August 2022 Since September 2021, CBRT policymakers have approved 850 basis points worth of cuts, despite a cratering lira, a sizable current account deficit, and skyrocketing consumer prices. We want to hear from you. 2018. Compared to the same period a year ago, rampant price inflation was driven by transportation (117.2 percent), food (99.1 percent), housing and utilities (85.2 percent), and apparel (41.3 percent). USD/TRY, Oct 2022 The Turkish Lira crashed from 8 in September 2021 to 18 TRY per dollar. This development is also fueled by the central bank. Erhan Demirtas | Bloomberg | Getty Images. Annually, consumer price inflation was forecast to be 68%. Turkey - Inflation Data Sample Report 5 years of economic forecasts for more than 30 economic indicators. Onur Dogman | Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images, We will have yet another Turkish lira crisis on our hands, strategist says. ISTANBUL (Reuters) -Turkish annual inflation climbed to a new 24-year high of 83.45% in September, data showed on Monday, still lower than forecast, after the central bank "With external financing conditions tightening, the risks remain firmly skewed to sharp and disorderly falls in the lira," Liam Peach, a senior emerging markets economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a note after Turkey's last rate cut on Sept. 22. September inflation was fueled by transportation prices rising by 117.66 percent, food up more than 90 percent and housing prices climbing by more than 80 percent. The A respected monthly study released by independent economists from Turkeys ENAG research institute also showed prices soaring at a much higher rate than the one reported by the state statistics agency. Trading Economics members can view, download and compare data from nearly 200 countries, including more than 20 million economic indicators, exchange rates, government bond yields, stock indexes and commodity prices. The reading was driven by rising prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages and housing and utilities. "My biggest battle is against interest. All Rights Reserved. Year to date, the lira has lost about 40 percent against the U.S. dollar. Turkish officialssay that their measures will bring inflation down in the coming months, but many economists disagree and expect consumer prices to rise and the lira to fall further into next year. Inflation Turkey 2022 CPI inflation Turkey 2022 The annual producer inflation accelerated because of higher prices in four critical sectors of the economy: electricity and gas (554.56 percent), mining and quarrying (162.06 percent), manufacturing (122.97 percent), and water supply (109.45 percent). According to the May 2022 statistics, producer inflation is running at 132 per cent a year. If you continue to use this site we will assume that you are happy with it. The annual inflation rate in Turkey rose for the 16th consecutive month to 83.5 percent in September of 2022, soaring from less than 20 percent in the corresponding period of the previous year but slightly below estimates of 84.6 percent. 2022 Cable News Network. 2022 CNBC LLC. Todays move will do little to address Turkeys inflationary challenges. It was the highest rate since September of 1998, as the lira plunged further during the month and the TCMB continued to slash interest rates. Inflation rose to 70.0% in April from Marchs 61.1%. All Rights Reserved. "I think you're going to see inflation increase more, but what the government had been counting on would be a deal with Russia to get cheaper gas to at least help the current account deficit on the energy side," Selcuki said, referencing Erdogan's frequent engagement with Russian President Vladimir Putin. September 5, 2022 Inflation rose to 80.2% in August, above Julys 79.6%. Turkey "Inflation is not an insurmountable economic threat. The Laspeyres formula is generally used. "Turkey is running such a large current account deficit, and it has become dependent on inflows of foreign capital to finance that. Turkey Inflation Rate - 2022 Some experts believe this might be the peak for headline inflation, but only if the Turkish currency, the lira, does not weaken further. Turkey also cut rates by 100 basis points in August, and had gradually lowered interest rates by 500 basis points at the end of 2021, setting off a currency crisis. My biggest battle is against interest. It has weakened some 29% this year to fresh all-time lows. Turkish Inflation Rate Hits 85% in October The annual inflation rate in Turkey rose further to 85.5 percent in October 2022, from 83.5 percent in the previous month, and in line with market Here's how he builds a portfolio with an 8% return, Credit Suisse says this is a bear market rally that's about to fail right here, Nearshoring represents 'a lifetime opportunity' to invest in Mexico, BofA says. Most stock quote data provided by BATS. 2. Current job openings: Download historical data for 20 million indicators using your browser. Turkey The World Bank forecast that Turkeys economy will slow to 2.7 percent in 2023, down from an estimated GDP growth rate of 4.7 percent this year. The annual inflation rate in Turkey rose for the 15th consecutive month to 80.2 percent in August of 2022, in line with market expectations and compared to 20 percent from the corresponding period of the previous year. Analysts had roughly expected this rate of inflation. Turkey cuts interest rates again despite 80% inflation October 2022 Data - 1965-2021 Historical - November Forecast, Turkish Stocks Extend Record for 5th Session, Turkey Bond Yields Below Multi-Year Highs, Turkish Inflation Rate Hits 85% in October, Turkey Producer Inflation Hits Fresh Record High, Turkish Trade Gap Widens Sharply in October, Turkey Factory Activity Lowest Since May 2020, Turkish Tourism Revenues Rise 27.1% YoY in Q3, Turkish Economic Morale Strongest in 8 Months, Australian Shares Fall as Tech, Resources Weigh, Bovespa Sinks Following Bad Earnings from Bradesco, Mexbol Turns Downward After Inflation Report, Canada TSX Declines with Commodities, CPI Uncertainty, Poland Holds Interest Rate Steady for 2nd Meeting. Consumer prices rose 7.25% over the previous month in April, accelerating from the 5.46% increase logged in March. ", Wall Street slashes price targets this earnings season. In August, Turkish inflation rate was recorded at 80.2%, speeding up for the 15th consecutive month and the highest level in 24 years. August's reading marked the highest inflation rate since our current records began. May 6, 2022. My biggest enemy is interest. Turkey Inflation Hits New 24-Year High of 83% After Rate There is no mystery as to why inflation persisted. Following the downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the Turkish economy grew 11% in 2021 and 7.3% in the first quarter of 2022, but not without the side effect of galloping inflation. The index also includes miscellaneous goods and services (4.7 percent); communication (4.4 percent); recreation and culture (3.8 percent); health (2.7 percent) and education (2.6 percent). On a monthly basis, consumer prices in Turkey rose by 3.5 percent in October. High inflation is one of the pressing issues Erdoans ruling party needs to tackle as the crisis has seen its approval ratings drop to historic lows in the run up to next years election. Central banks worldwide are raising borrowing costs in efforts to tame soaring consumer prices, but We lowered the interest rate to 12 percent, the president told an audience during an event in September. We lowered the interest rate to 12%. In October, consumer prices were 85.5 percent higher than a year earlier, the National Statistics Office said on Thursday in Ankara. An electronic board displays exchange rate information at a currency exchange bureau in Istanbul, Turkey, on Monday, Aug. 29, 2022. "Given upcoming elections, a disproportionate focus will remain on propping up short-term economic growth, putting further upward pressure on inflation as well as the lira," he said. All Rights Reserved. However, economists see inflation remaining high for the rest of 2022 due to the Ukraine war. Get this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services. Turkey Inflation Rate 1960-2022 | MacroTrends Turkey Inflation Rate - May 2022 Data - 1965-2021 Historical The annual inflation rate in Turkey rose further to 85.5 percent in October 2022, from 83.5 percent in the previous month, and in line with market forecasts of 85.6 percent. All rights reserved. Erdoan has lost the plot on inflation which is what people care about, more than growth. The domestic producer price index shows a 157.69% increase annually and was up 7.83% on a monthly basis.